The Weekly Flail — November 16, 2024

OVERVIEW

The US election disaster is setting in with a national sullenness. The second Trump regime headed straight for the rocks with hopeless cabinet picks. But the population, less the MAGAs and the low-information voters who are still Googling ‘how to change my vote,’ are finding dark humor while focussing on local control to block Trump’s insanity. We will see how the Pacific Coast and Great Lakes Alliance develop.

There is a chance that the combination of events above with a few sane Republican senators cripples the Trump clown car before it gets started. We can hope.

We will focus more on the climate disaster and the battle between the official climate model, which is obviously wrong, and the alarmist model, which appears right and is becoming scientifically dominant. This is complex, so comparing the contenders with statistical reality will take more space.

A critical failure of the national elections so far this year has been ignored because the old model said there was no need to worry until the end of this century. The corporate media are still ignoring things, but reality is making that mistake clearer by the month.

AI is driving a much more significant paradigm shift than the web in the early ’90s, and the shift is bearing fruit quickly. It may simply replace all the things that the neofascists want to take back to the 19th century. This kind of change often leaves old power brokers and politicians sitting in a junkyard, wondering where everyone went.

CLIMATE DISASTER

[The Flail] If you have been following climate science and weather disasters, you know things are changing faster than the Paris Accords promised. We have already exceeded the 1.5-degree Celsius global average, which we should stay below. Despite the reported success of alternative energy for national energy grids and automobiles, fossil fuel use continues to grow. This is complicated, but to many scientists, it is now a full red-alert disaster that may take down our civilization over the next twenty-five years.

I agree with the alarmist models based on historical data, and last year, as a futurist, I stopped talking about anything past 2030. It is not that the world will end in five years…